Editorial

EDITORIAL

Heavy rains: Let us prepare not panic

In the coming few days, parts of Tanzania may begin to see the first signs of the ‘Vuli’ rains, with the season expected to spread more widely this month. Tanzania Meteorological Authority (TMA) has warned that a strong El Niño is expected to have a significant influence on the 2026 ‘Vuli’ season bringing above-average to average rainfall to many areas, including the north-eastern highlands.

The warnings have been sounded repeatedly by government authorities, religious and community leaders, meteorological experts and the media, among others. This is therefore no time for complacency. Yet some people still wonder whether the much-talked-about rains will really come. Like the doubters in the story of Noah’s Ark, they may prefer to wait until the water reaches their doorstep before believing the warning.

Warnings are useful only when they are acted upon. Let us put aside the attitude of the “doubting Thomases” and listen to science, meteorological authorities and official early-warning systems. Weather forecasts are never absolutely perfect but that does not make them meaningless. Their purpose is precisely to give communities, families and authorities valuable time to prepare before danger arrives.

Those living on hillsides, steep slopes, riverbanks and in low-lying or flood-prone areas must be particularly vigilant. Drainage channels should be cleared now and not when the flooding begins. Rubbish blocking culverts must be removed. Families should inspect roofs, walls and electrical connections while everyone must resist the temptation to cross flooded roads, swollen rivers or fast-moving water.

Preparation must also extend to health and household necessities. Homes should have basic first aid supplies, safe drinking water, essential medicines and adequate stocks of food. Heavy rainfall can increase the risk of contaminated water, mosquito breeding and outbreaks of disease. Cold, wet and damp conditions may also place children, older people and the frail at greater risk and they deserve special attention.

Farmers and livestock keepers must also prepare. Crops, animals, animal feed and vulnerable farm infrastructure should be protected wherever possible. What can be moved to safer ground should be moved before the rains intensify not afterwards.

History has taught us that El Niño should never be dismissed casually. The 1957–58 event was among the stronger El Niño episodes of the modern record while major events also occurred in 1982–83, 1997–98 and 2015–16. But this is not the time to debate which event was stronger. The lesson from the past is simpler: When nature sends a warning, wisdom lies in preparing before the storm, not regretting after it.

Government institutions, councils and communities also have a responsibility. Drains, bridges, roads and other vulnerable infrastructure should be inspected and strengthened where necessary. Areas known to flood repeatedly should receive particular attention and early warnings must reach people in language they understand and through channels they actually use.

El Niño does not automatically mean disaster. Heavy rainfall can replenish water sources, support agriculture and provide other benefits if it is properly managed. But when preparation is neglected, the same rain can destroy homes, damage roads, wash away crops and, tragically, cost lives.

We therefore need neither panic nor be complacent. We need preparedness. Let us take every reasonable precaution, look out for our neighbours and those most vulnerable, follow official weather information and pray that the worst does not happen. A cleared drain, a repaired roof, a safer route or a warning taken seriously may appear insignificant today but tomorrow it could save a home, protect crucial infrastructure — or save a life.

Prepare today. Do not wait for the water to reach the doorstep.

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